The College Football Playoff National Championship between Notre Dame and Ohio State is set to be a highly anticipated matchup, with ESPN’s SP+ predictive model offering insights into the potential outcome. The model, which takes into account offensive and defensive efficiency, special teams performance, and recent trends, suggests that the game will be closely contested, though Ohio State enters as a slight favorite.
Ohio State boasts one of the most potent offenses in college football, led by quarterback Kyle McCord and star wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. The Buckeyes’ offense has been a dominant force throughout the season, averaging over 500 yards per game. Their balanced attack, combining a strong passing game with a reliable ground game featuring running back Miyan Williams, presents a challenge for any defense. Ohio State’s offensive line has been stout, providing McCord with ample time to execute plays while opening up running lanes.
On the defensive side, Ohio State has made significant strides under defensive coordinator Jim Knowles. The Buckeyes possess one of the best defensive lines in the country, with edge rushers who can pressure the quarterback and disrupt plays in the backfield. Their secondary, led by cornerback Denzel Burke, has also been highly effective in limiting big plays through the air.
Notre Dame, under head coach Marcus Freeman, enters the game with a formidable defense that has been effective at shutting down opposing offenses. The Fighting Irish have an experienced defensive front, headlined by standout defensive lineman Jayson Ademilola and linebacker JD Bertrand, who are adept at stopping the run and pressuring the quarterback. Notre Dame’s defense has excelled in critical situations, particularly in red-zone defense, making them a tough unit to break down.
Offensively, Notre Dame relies heavily on their dynamic running back duo of Audric Estime and Jadarian Price, who have been able to wear down opposing defenses. Quarterback Sam Hartman, a transfer from Wake Forest, has brought stability and poise to the position. Hartman’s ability to manage the game and make key throws will be vital in keeping Ohio State’s offense off the field.
In terms of special teams, both teams have been solid throughout the season, with each squad boasting reliable kickers and return specialists capable of changing the game with a big play.
SP+ predicts a tight contest, with Ohio State’s superior offensive firepower and depth likely giving them the edge in a high-stakes battle. However, Notre Dame’s stout defense and ability to control the tempo could keep them in the game until the final moments. The model suggests that Ohio State, with its explosive playmaking ability, may have just enough to secure a narrow victory and claim the national title.
